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Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.alterscope.org/llms.txt

Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

Risk in DeFi is rarely isolated. Protocols depend on each other’s tokens and prices; capital concentrates in a handful of wallets; a shock in one place propagates to others. Alterscope models these relationships as a knowledge graph and runs network analysis over it to surface risks that a per-asset view misses. The graph links protocols, pools, assets, and wallets through dependency, holding, and price relationships. The analyses below run on top of it.

Contagion cascades

The cascade model answers: if this pool or asset takes a shock, what else is affected, and by how much? It propagates a shock outward across the graph’s dependency edges, dampening the impact at each hop:
impact(edge) = edge_weight · (1 − liquidity_buffer) · dampening^hop_distance
Effects from multiple paths are combined as a union of independent shocks, and propagation stops once impact falls below a threshold or a maximum hop distance is reached. Alterscope runs standard scenarios (a 10%, 25%, and 50% shock) and returns the affected subgraph, which powers the contagion map in the product. Calibration. The same-chain per-hop dampening is empirically fitted against a corpus of historical contagion events (including the UST depeg, the stETH dislocation, the USDC/SVB weekend, and the Euler exploit) via grid search. The cross-chain dampening is an uncalibrated prior — the historical corpus is Ethereum-only — and is documented as such so it is read as a conservative assumption, not a fitted result. We publish the propagation formula and the calibration approach; the fitted dampening values are calibrated internally.

Concentration

Concentration measures how much of a pool sits in how few hands — a thin, concentrated holder base is a liquidity and exit risk. Alterscope computes the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) over holder shares, alongside top-1% / top-5% / top-10% concentration and the largest holders:
HHI = Σ (shareᵢ)²
      i
A higher HHI means more concentration. Where wallet-level holder data is unavailable for a pool, the model falls back to concentration over protocol dependency shares so a signal is still produced.

Communities

Alterscope detects communities — clusters of protocols and assets that are densely interconnected — using the Louvain community-detection algorithm over the graph. Communities reveal which protocols effectively rise and fall together, and each community surfaces its total-value share and whether it spans multiple chains. Community assignments are precomputed on a schedule (see staleness note below) and each response reports when it was last computed.

Smart-money flow

The smart-money analysis tracks position changes by whale and labeled entities — wallets above a size or pool-share threshold — and classifies each move as entering, exiting, or holding. The intent is to surface where sophisticated capital is rotating before it shows up in aggregate metrics.
Smart-money and wallet-level concentration depend on wallet-ingestion coverage, which varies by environment and is still expanding. Treat these as a capability whose signal quality tracks how completely the relevant wallets have been ingested — not as comprehensive coverage of all market participants. See Coverage & gaps.

Supporting network metrics

The graph also precomputes standard network-centrality metrics as node properties, used as inputs to the analyses above and available on graph endpoints:
MetricWhat it captures
PageRankOverall influence of a node in the dependency network.
Degree (in / out / total)How many direct relationships a node has.
Weakly-connected componentsWhich nodes belong to the same connected region.
BetweennessHow often a node sits on paths between others — a bridge / chokepoint signal.
Batch staleness. Graph metrics and community assignments are recomputed on a schedule (faster-moving metrics hourly, heavier ones every few hours), so they can lag live state by up to their refresh interval. Endpoints report the last-computed timestamp so you can see exactly how current a result is.

Where this shows up

Cascade, concentration, community, and smart-money results are returned by the graph endpoints in the API reference, each carrying freshness and quality metadata. The contagion / systemic signals also feed the systemic factor in the composite score. The honest boundaries — coverage dependence and the uncalibrated cross-chain prior — are on the Limitations page.